Benford's law as an audit analytic
A Benford test is a data analytic that helps target procedures. Under AU-C 315 analytics help identify risks of material misstatement, and AU-C 240 has auditors test the appropriateness of journal entries, where unusual digit patterns are a common selection criterion.
The test counts the leading digit (or first two digits) of each amount of 10 or more, compares the shares with Benford's expected log10(1 + 1/d), and measures the fit two ways. Chi-square compares counts; with 8 degrees of freedom (first digit) the 5% critical value is 15.507, and with 89 (first two digits) it is 112.02. MAD averages the absolute differences in proportions and is judged against Mark Nigrini's ranges (Benford's Law, 2012): first digit 0.006 / 0.012 / 0.015; first two digits 0.0012 / 0.0018 / 0.0022.
The first-two-digits test is the sharper tool for finding specific spikes, such as many invoices starting with 49 just under a $5,000 approval threshold. Use the digit table's Z-statistics to pick which amounts to pull.
Common questions
What is Benford's law?
Benford's law says that in many naturally occurring sets of numbers the leading digit is small more often than large: 1 leads about 30.1% of the time, 2 about 17.6%, falling to 9 at about 4.6%. The expected share of digit d is log10(1 + 1/d).
How do auditors use Benford's law?
As an analytical procedure to spot unusual patterns in large populations such as journal entries, vendor invoices, expense claims or sales transactions. Spikes at particular digits, for example just below an approval limit, point to items worth testing. A departure from Benford is a lead, not evidence of fraud.
Which data should follow Benford's law?
Amounts that arise from combining numbers (price × quantity), span several orders of magnitude, and are not capped, assigned or rounded by policy. Populations with fixed fees, minimums, maximums, assigned numbers (check numbers, ZIP codes) or a narrow range should not be expected to conform.
What is MAD and why is it preferred over chi-square?
MAD is the mean absolute deviation between actual and expected digit proportions. Chi-square grows with sample size, so on large populations it flags trivial differences. Nigrini's MAD ranges do not depend on sample size: for the first digit, up to 0.006 is close conformity, 0.012 acceptable, 0.015 marginally acceptable, and above that nonconformity.
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