The formulas
- Gross potential rent = units x monthly rent x months
- Expected income = gross potential rent x (1 - vacancy rate)
How it works
AU-C 520 paragraph .A13 uses this exact procedure as its example of an analytical procedure that provides persuasive evidence: predicting total rental income on an apartment building from rental rates, the number of apartments and vacancy rates. When the inputs are verified, it can remove the need for further tests of details.
Verify the rent roll, the unit count and the vacancy rate before relying on the result. Concessions, free rent periods and straight-line adjustments make recorded income differ from cash rent, so add them to the expectation when they are significant.
Illustrative figures only. Check the result against your firm's methodology before relying on it.
Common questions
Where does the vacancy rate come from?
From monthly rent rolls or occupancy reports. Average the monthly rates rather than using the year-end rate.
What about other income such as parking or fees?
Leave it out of recorded income here, or build a separate expectation for it.
Why is my difference large?
Common causes are mid-year rent increases, concessions, bad debt netted against revenue, and units taken offline for renovation.
Sources
- AICPA AU-C Section 520, Analytical Procedures (paragraphs .A12 and .A13 on predictive models)
- AICPA AU-C Section 520, Analytical Procedures (paragraphs .05, .07 and .A10 to .A24)
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