Glossary/Audit procedures

Projected misstatement

Projected misstatement is the auditor's estimate of misstatement in a population, found by extrapolating the misstatements identified in a sample to the whole population from which the sample was drawn.

CORAA TeamUpdated November 5, 2026

Definition

Misstatements found in a sample indicate misstatement in the rest of the population. AU-C 530 requires the auditor to project them, using a method suited to the design: ratio or difference projection for classical variables sampling, tainting for monetary unit sampling, or the deviation rate for attribute tests. Anomalies, which are demonstrably not representative, are excluded from projection.

Why it matters in an audit or review

Projected misstatement is compared with tolerable misstatement to decide whether the population is acceptable. It is also carried to the schedule of uncorrected misstatements, together with misstatements found in items tested separately, because the auditor evaluates their total effect against materiality under AU-C 450.

Example

A receivables population is $2,000,000 and the sample covers $500,000 (illustrative). The sample contains a $5,000 overstatement. By ratio projection, 5,000 divided by 500,000 is 1 percent, and applying it to $2,000,000 gives $20,000. The auditor adds $20,000 to the schedule and compares it with tolerable misstatement of $90,000.

Common mistakes

  • Reporting the sample error as the total and skipping projection.
  • Labelling a recurring error an anomaly to avoid projecting it.

FAQ

Does projection apply to items tested at 100 percent?

No. Items tested in full carry their actual misstatement; only sampled items are projected.

Sources

  • AICPA, AU-C Section 530, Audit Sampling
  • AICPA, AU-C Section 450, Evaluation of Misstatements Identified During the Audit

Definitions paraphrase AICPA and FASB guidance; read the standard itself before relying on a requirement. Example figures are illustrative. This page is guidance, not professional advice. Report an error

Standards

AU-C 530AU-C 450

Related terms

  • Tolerable misstatement
    Tolerable misstatement is the monetary amount the auditor sets for sampling so that the actual misstatement in a population is unlikely to exceed it, and it is derived from performance materiality.
  • Uncorrected misstatements (SUM)
    Uncorrected misstatements are errors found by the auditor that management chose not to adjust. They are accumulated, often on a schedule called the SUM, and evaluated together against materiality.
  • Monetary unit sampling
    Monetary unit sampling is a statistical method in which each dollar in a population is a sampling unit, so larger items are more likely to be selected and the sample is weighted by value.
  • Audit sampling
    Audit sampling applies an audit procedure to less than 100 percent of the items in a population so that every sampling unit has a chance of selection, enabling conclusions about the whole population.

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