The formulas
- Average headcount = (start + end) / 2
- Pay factor = (raise month - 1) / 12 + (13 - raise month) / 12 x (1 + raise %)
- Expected payroll = average headcount x average pay x pay factor
How it works
AU-C 520 paragraph .A12 gives payroll as the example of a simple predictive model: with a known number of employees at fixed rates of pay, the auditor can estimate total payroll with a high degree of accuracy. This tool builds that model from average headcount, average pay and a raise that took effect partway through the year.
The model is only as good as its inputs. Test headcount and pay rates against HR records, and split the model by department or pay type when the mix changed. Overtime, bonuses and commissions belong in separate expectations.
Illustrative figures only. Check the result against your firm's methodology before relying on it.
Common questions
Should I use monthly headcount?
Yes when headcount moved unevenly. Average the twelve month-end counts and enter that as both start and end.
What threshold should I use?
Your firm sets it from performance materiality and the assurance you need from the procedure. AU-C 520 .A24 says it decreases as assessed risk increases.
Does this cover payroll taxes?
No. Build a separate expectation for employer taxes from taxable wages and rates.
Sources
- AICPA AU-C Section 520, Analytical Procedures (paragraphs .A12 and .A13 on predictive models)
- AICPA AU-C Section 520, Analytical Procedures (paragraphs .05, .07 and .A10 to .A24)
Runs in your browser. The figures you type are not sent to CORAA or stored. Check the result against your firm's methodology before relying on it.